Atalanta II vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 38Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
The Footlab model makes Atalanta II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atalanta II vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Atalanta II (1,793) and Perugia (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atalanta II have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Perugia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Atalanta II score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta II | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atalanta II sit 19th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Perugia sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Atalanta II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atalanta II vs Perugia?
- The Footlab model makes Atalanta II the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Atalanta II vs Perugia played?
- Atalanta II vs Perugia is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.