Athlone Town vs Treaty United: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Athlone Town Stadium, Athlone
The Footlab model makes Athlone Town the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Treaty United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Athlone Town vs Treaty United?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Athlone Town (1,282) and Treaty United (1,312).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Athlone Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Treaty United have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 1-2 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | UCD(home) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | UCD(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Athlone Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Treaty United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Treaty United 2-1 Athlone Town | First Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Athlone Town 0-0 Treaty United | First Division |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Treaty United 2-0 Athlone Town | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Treaty United 3-2 Athlone Town | First Division |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Athlone Town 2-2 Treaty United | First Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Treaty United 1-0 Athlone Town | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Treaty United vs Athlone Town on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Athlone Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Treaty United score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Treaty United | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Athlone Town sit 7th in First Division (23 points from 20 matches) and Treaty United sit 10th (16 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athlone Town | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 34 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Athlone Town vs Treaty United?
- The Footlab model makes Athlone Town the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Treaty United.
- Where and when is Athlone Town vs Treaty United played?
- Athlone Town vs Treaty United is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Athlone Town Stadium, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.