Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)St. Colman's Park, Cobh
The Footlab model makes Cobh Ramblers the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kerry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Cobh Ramblers (1,357) and Kerry (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobh Ramblers have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Kerry have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kerry(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UCD(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sligo Rovers(away) | 0-4 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cobh Ramblers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kerry 3-0 Cobh Ramblers | First Division |
| May 29, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers 2-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Kerry 1-2 Cobh Ramblers | First Division |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Kerry 1-1 Cobh Ramblers | First Division |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Kerry 2-0 Cobh Ramblers | FAI Cup |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers 1-0 Kerry | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Kerry vs Cobh Ramblers on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobh Ramblers score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobh Ramblers | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kerry | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobh Ramblers sit 4th in First Division (31 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 40 |
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry?
- The Footlab model makes Cobh Ramblers the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kerry.
- Where and when is Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry played?
- Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at St. Colman's Park, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.