Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, Lleida
The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Vilanova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlètic Lleida wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Atlètic Lleida (1,799) and Vilanova (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 9Soule
- 11M. Sidibe
- 8Samson
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- RRoger Alcalá
- 1P. Torres
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlètic Lleida have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Vilanova have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vilanova score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vilanova | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlètic Lleida sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (8 points from 6 matches) and Vilanova sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vilanova | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Atlètic Lleida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlètic Lleida the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Vilanova.
- Where and when is Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova played?
- Atlètic Lleida vs Vilanova is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp de futbol Ramon Farrús, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.