Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Hormaechea, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Guarnizo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Albericia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,152 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Atlético Albericia (1,732) and Guarnizo (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Albericia
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Albericia lineup.
Guarnizo
Not enough data to predict the Guarnizo lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Albericia have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Guarnizo have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Castro(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Solares(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Albericia win, 0 draws, 5 Guarnizo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Atlético Albericia 1-3 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guarnizo 1-4 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 1-3 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Guarnizo 3-2 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Atlético Albericia 1-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Guarnizo 1-0 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Albericia score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guarnizo score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Albericia | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Guarnizo | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Albericia sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Guarnizo sit 12th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Guarnizo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Atlético Albericia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Albericia the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Guarnizo.
- Where and when is Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo played?
- Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Hormaechea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.