Cayón vs Atlético Albericia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Astobiza, Sarón, Santa María de Cayón
The Footlab model makes Cayón the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Albericia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cayón vs Atlético Albericia?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Cayón (1,803) and Atlético Albericia (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cayón have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Albericia have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cartes(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cayón win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atlético Albericia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Cayón 2-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 3-0 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 2-3 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Cayón 2-1 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 0-1 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cayón 2-4 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Cayón vs Atlético Albericia on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cayón score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Albericia score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayón | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Albericia | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cayón sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (56 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Albericia sit 7th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atlético Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayón | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 41 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cayón vs Atlético Albericia?
- The Footlab model makes Cayón the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Atlético Albericia.
- Where and when is Cayón vs Atlético Albericia played?
- Cayón vs Atlético Albericia is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Astobiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.