Atlético Arteixo vs Alondras: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arteixo, Arteixo
The Footlab model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Alondras. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Arteixo vs Alondras?
Atlético Arteixo starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Arteixo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Alondras have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Silva(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Lugo B(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlético Arteixo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Alondras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Alondras 2-0 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atlético Arteixo 0-4 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Alondras 0-0 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Atlético Arteixo 2-1 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Alondras 0-1 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Arteixo 0-0 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Alondras vs Atlético Arteixo on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Arteixo score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alondras score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Arteixo | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Alondras | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Arteixo sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (58 points from 34 matches) and Alondras sit 12th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 44 | 58 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 48 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Arteixo vs Alondras?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Alondras.
- Where and when is Atlético Arteixo vs Alondras played?
- Atlético Arteixo vs Alondras is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Arteixo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.