Atlético Arteixo vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arteixo, Arteixo
The Footlab model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Celta de Vigo III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Arteixo vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Atlético Arteixo (1,847) and Celta de Vigo III (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Arteixo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Compostela(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Silva(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Noia(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | CD Lugo B(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Arteixo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Celta de Vigo III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 2-0 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Atlético Arteixo 4-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Atlético Arteixo 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Celta de Vigo III 2-1 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Celta de Vigo III 3-3 Atlético Arteixo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Atlético Arteixo 0-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo III vs Atlético Arteixo on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Arteixo score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Arteixo | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Arteixo sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (58 points from 34 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 44 | 58 |
| 7 | Celta de Vigo III | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57 | 42 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Arteixo vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Arteixo the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Celta de Vigo III.
- Where and when is Atlético Arteixo vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Atlético Arteixo vs Celta de Vigo III is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Arteixo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.