Sarriana vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal De Ribela, Sarria
The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Somozas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarriana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarriana vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Sarriana (1,854) and Somozas (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarriana vs Somozas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarriana
Not enough data to predict the Sarriana lineup.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarriana have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Somozas have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Antela(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Sarriana wins, 0 draws, 1 Somozas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Somozas 2-1 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sarriana 5-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Somozas 2-3 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Sarriana 3-2 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Somozas 0-3 Sarriana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarriana score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Somozas score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarriana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Somozas | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarriana sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Somozas sit 16th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sarriana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Somozas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Sarriana vs Somozas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarriana vs Somozas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarriana the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Somozas.
- Where and when is Sarriana vs Somozas played?
- Sarriana vs Somozas is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.