Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Coruña. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo III wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo III (1,779) and Coruña (1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Coruña
Not enough data to predict the Coruña lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo III have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Coruña have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Celta de Vigo III wins, 2 draws, 1 Coruña win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña 3-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Coruña | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Coruña 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Coruña vs Celta de Vigo III on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo III score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Coruña score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Coruña | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo III sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Coruña sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celta de Vigo III | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Coruña | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Coruña.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña played?
- Celta de Vigo III vs Coruña is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.