Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, Ascoli Piceno
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio?
On Elo ratings, Atletico Ascoli has 1,737 points and Termoli Calcio 1,669.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Ascoli have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atletico Ascoli wins, 2 draws, 4 Termoli Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 3-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Termoli Calcio 1-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Ascoli sit 7th in Serie D - Girone F (13 points from 8 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Don Mauro Bartolini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.