Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,671) and Atletico Ascoli (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sammaurese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sammaurese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Termoli Calcio win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Ascoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 3-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Termoli Calcio 1-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (39 points from 34 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 4th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55 | 34 | 55 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.