Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Ascoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,683) and Atletico Ascoli (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Atletico Ascoli
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Ascoli lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Ascoli have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Termoli Calcio wins, 2 draws, 0 Atletico Ascoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 3-1 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 0-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Atletico Ascoli 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Termoli Calcio 1-0 Atletico Ascoli | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli Calcio on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Ascoli score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico Ascoli | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 10th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 8 matches) and Atletico Ascoli sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 10 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Ascoli the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.