Atlético Astorga vs Albacete II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Albacete II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Albacete II?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,889) and Albacete II (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Albacete II have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 30, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 24, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Albacete II | 1.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Albacete II?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Albacete II.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Albacete II played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Albacete II is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.