Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Astorga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha?
On Elo ratings, Atlético Astorga has 1,882 points and Calamocha 1,843.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Calamocha
Not enough data to predict the Calamocha lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Calamocha have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Calamocha | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Calamocha.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Calamocha is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.