Real Ávila vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Real Valladolid II?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,890) and Real Valladolid II (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Real Ávila win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Valladolid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real Valladolid II 7-2 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Real Ávila 2-2 Real Valladolid II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Real Ávila 2-3 Real Valladolid II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Real Valladolid II 0-1 Real Ávila | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 1.6 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Real Valladolid II?
- The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II.
- Where and when is Real Ávila vs Real Valladolid II played?
- Real Ávila vs Real Valladolid II is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.