Conquense vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs A Madrid III?
On Elo ratings, Conquense has 1,947 points and A Madrid III 1,885.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs A Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; A Madrid III have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Conquense wins, 0 draws, 1 A Madrid III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III 3-2 Conquense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: A Madrid III vs Conquense on Oct 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| A Madrid III | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conquense sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (10 points from 5 matches) and A Madrid III sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Madrid III | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Conquense vs A Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Conquense vs A Madrid III played?
- Conquense vs A Madrid III is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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