Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 20Kick-off on November 12, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Balboa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Inca Aruba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Balboa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
On Elo ratings, Atletico Balboa has 1,496 points and Inca Aruba 1,452.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Balboa
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Balboa lineup.
Inca Aruba
Not enough data to predict the Inca Aruba lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Balboa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Inca Aruba have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Águila(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FAS(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Inter(home) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atletico Balboa wins, 0 draws, 1 Inca Aruba win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Inca Aruba 1-0 Atletico Balboa | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Inca Aruba vs Atletico Balboa on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Balboa score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inca Aruba score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Balboa | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Inca Aruba | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Balboa sit 10th in Primera Division (17 points from 18 matches) and Inca Aruba sit 11th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 17 |
| 11 | Inca Aruba | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 17 |
A question about Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Balboa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Inca Aruba.
- Where and when is Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba played?
- Atletico Balboa vs Inca Aruba is played on November 12, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.