Inca Aruba vs Águila: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 21Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Inca Aruba. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inca Aruba vs Águila?
Águila starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inca Aruba vs Águila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inca Aruba
Not enough data to predict the Inca Aruba lineup.
Águila
Not enough data to predict the Águila lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inca Aruba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Águila have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Inca Aruba wins, 0 draws, 1 Águila win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Águila 3-1 Inca Aruba | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Inca Aruba score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Águila score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inca Aruba | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Águila | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inca Aruba sit 9th in Primera Division (16 points from 16 matches) and Águila sit 4th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
A question about Inca Aruba vs Águila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inca Aruba vs Águila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Inca Aruba.
- Where and when is Inca Aruba vs Águila played?
- Inca Aruba vs Águila is played on November 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.