Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Atletico Lodigiani (1,678) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Lodigiani have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Atletico Lodigiani win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-3 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 2-3 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 3-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-2 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Lodigiani score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Lodigiani | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Lodigiani sit 12th in Serie D - Girone G (44 points from 34 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
| 12 | Atletico Lodigiani | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.