Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Lodigiani wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Atletico Lodigiani (1,648) and Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,665).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Lodigiani
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Lodigiani lineup.
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Not enough data to predict the Sarrabus Ogliastra lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Lodigiani have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gelbison(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Latte Dolce(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Atletico Lodigiani wins, 0 draws, 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-3 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 2-3 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 1-0 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Atletico Lodigiani 3-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 0-2 Atletico Lodigiani | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Atletico Lodigiani on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Lodigiani score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Lodigiani | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Lodigiani sit 18th in Serie D - Girone G (3 points from 10 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 16th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 18 | Atletico Lodigiani | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 3 |
A question about Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Lodigiani the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
- Atletico Lodigiani vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.