Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 5, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
Atletico-MG won 2-1 on April 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′Victor HugoAtletico-MG
- 80′Gustavo ScarpaAtletico-MG
- 88′JulimarAtletico Paranaense
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-4-2- 19Reinier
- 7Hulk
- 28T. Cuello
- 21A. Franco
- 25T. Pérez
- 30Victor Hugo
- 16Renan Lodi
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 4Ruan Tressoldi
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1- 9K. Viveros
- 7S. Mendoza
- 53Dudu
- 6Leo Derik
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 16Jádson
- 29G. Benavídez
- 37L. Esquivel
- 33J. Aguirre
- 4Arthur Dias
- 23Santos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG wins, 1 draw, 2 Atletico Paranaense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 23, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense on Dec 8, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (43 points from 28 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (49 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 49 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 43 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy