Match

Atletico-MG vs Corinthians: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

Atletico-MGCorinthians

The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Corinthians. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico-MG wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico-MG vs Corinthians?

Atletico-MG starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,822).

50%25%25%
Atletico-MG winDrawCorinthians win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atletico-MG vs Corinthians

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atletico-MG

4-2-3-1
  1. 19Reinier
  1. 11Bernard
  2. 28T. Cuello
  3. 8Maycon
  4. 21A. Franco
  5. 15K. Castaño
  1. 2Natanael
  2. 6Renan Lodi
  3. 14Vitor Hugo
  4. 13Lyanco
  1. 1Gabriel Delfim

Corinthians

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Yuri Alberto
  1. 10M. Depay
  2. 7Breno
  3. 14Raniele
  4. 49Andre
  5. 37Kaio César
  1. 13Gustavo Henrique
  2. 21Matheus Bidu
  3. 2Matheuzinho
  4. 3Gabriel Paulista
  1. 1Hugo Souza

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Corinthians have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico-MG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Atletico Torque(home)3-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Oct 11, 2026Santos(home)2-1Serie A
Oct 8, 2026Atletico Paranaense(away)2-2Serie A
Oct 3, 2026RB Bragantino(home)1-0Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Chapecoense-sc(home)1-1Serie A
Corinthians
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Palmeiras(away)1-4Serie A
Oct 7, 2026Internacional(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Fluminense(home)1-3Serie A
Sep 17, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(home)0-1CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sep 13, 2026Flamengo(away)1-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win, 3 draws, 2 Corinthians wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Corinthians 1-0 Atletico-MGSerie A
Oct 18, 2025Corinthians 1-0 Atletico-MGSerie A
May 25, 2025Atletico-MG 0-0 CorinthiansSerie A
Jul 28, 2024Atletico-MG 2-1 CorinthiansSerie A
Apr 14, 2024Corinthians 0-0 Atletico-MGSerie A
Nov 9, 2023Corinthians 1-1 Atletico-MGSerie A

Last archived meeting: Corinthians vs Atletico-MG on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Corinthians score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atletico-MG1.71.149/159/15
Corinthians0.91.539/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Corinthians sit 16th (32 points from 30 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Atletico-MG301389413547
16Corinthians308814313832

A question about Atletico-MG vs Corinthians?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico-MG vs Corinthians?
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico-MG the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Corinthians.
Where and when is Atletico-MG vs Corinthians played?
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena MRV, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atletico-MG and Corinthians

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