Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Paranaense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirassol wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,936 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Mirassol (1,785) and Atletico Paranaense (1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirassol
4-2-3-1- 30Bruno Santos
- 33Eduardo
- 77Alesson
- 27Denilson
- 95Edson
- 7Shaylon
- 6Reinaldo
- 32Igor Formiga
- 34João Victor
- 3Willian Machado
- 22Walter
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1- 9K. Viveros
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 7S. Mendoza
- 16Jádson
- 8João Cruz
- 21Leozinho
- 12Gilberto
- 33J. Aguirre
- 37L. Esquivel
- 4Arthur Dias
- 1Mycael
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirassol have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mirassol wins, 0 draws, 1 Atletico Paranaense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Mirassol | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Mirassol on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirassol score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirassol sit 14th in Serie A (40 points from 34 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 5th (54 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 54 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | 40 |
A question about Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirassol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Paranaense.
- Where and when is Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense played?
- Mirassol vs Atletico Paranaense is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.