Atletico-MG vs Botafogo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Botafogo?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 81′PaulinhoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Botafogo have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Flamengo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Bahia(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico-MG win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Botafogo 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Botafogo 0-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2020 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2020 | Botafogo 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2019 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Botafogo vs Atletico-MG on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Botafogo | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy