Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on May 11, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
Atletico-MG won 3-2 on May 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 56′A. CanobbioFluminense
- 77′RubensAtletico-MG
- 84′Júnior SantosAtletico-MG
- 88′K. SernaFluminense
- 90′Igor GomesAtletico-MG
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 7Hulk
- 28T. Cuello
- 10Gustavo Scarpa
- 33Rony
- 8F. Vera
- 21A. Franco
- 44Rubens
- 6J. Alonso
- 4Lyanco
- 2Natanael
- 22Everson
Fluminense
4-3-3- 17A. Canobbio
- 9Everaldo
- 21J. Arias
- 8Martinelli
- 5F. Bernal
- 16Nonato
- 12G. Fuentes
- 22J. Freytes
- 3Thiago Silva
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2025 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 5, 2025 | Juventude(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Maringá(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Caracas FC(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 3, 2025 | Sport Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Aparecidense(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG wins, 2 draws, 2 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fluminense 1-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| May 4, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Fluminense 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Fluminense on Sep 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy