Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 4-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 3, 2017 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Atletico-MG won 4-3 on December 3, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 34′Jean PyerreGremio
- 37′EliasAtletico-MG
- 45′Eduardo Gabriel Aquino CossaGremio
- 45′R. OteroAtletico-MG
- 61′BatistaGremio
- 66′Frederico Chaves GuedesAtletico-MG
- 90′R. OteroAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2017 | Corinthians(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Coritiba(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 15, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Bahia(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 15, 2017 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Vitoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Atletico-MG win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2016 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Atletico-MG 1-3 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 27, 2016 | Atletico-MG 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2015 | Gremio 2-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Gremio | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy