Atletico-MG vs Gremio: result 1-4 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 13, 2019 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
Gremio won 1-4 on October 13, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 34′Rafael GalhardoGremio
- 44′Maicon Thiago Pereira de SouzaGremio (pen.)
- 45′F. Di SantoAtletico-MG (pen.)
- 47′Pepê AquinoGremio
- 90′AlissonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Gremio have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | Flamengo(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2019 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2019 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2019 | Avai(home) | 6-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico-MG win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2019 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atletico-MG 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Atletico-MG 4-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2016 | Gremio 1-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Gremio vs Atletico-MG on May 25, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (33 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy