Atletico-MG vs Juventude: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on September 28, 2016 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
Atletico-MG won 1-0 on September 28, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 17′L. PrattoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Juventude have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Internacional(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Fluminense(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2016 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Macaé(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Tombense(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Botafogo SP(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventude score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Juventude | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy