Palmeiras vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 19, 2016 at 11:45 PM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras and Gremio drew 1-1 on October 19, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 51′Thiago MartinsPalmeiras
- 76′EvertonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | Figueirense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2016 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2016 | Santa Cruz(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Gremio(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Palmeiras win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2016 | Gremio 2-1 Palmeiras | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Gremio 0-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2016 | Palmeiras 4-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Palmeiras 3-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 21, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Palmeiras 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy