Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 17Kick-off on May 7, 2016 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
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What was the result of Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin?
Independiente Medellin won 1-2 on May 7, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 30′M. TorresAtletico Nacional
- 35′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
- 52′L. CastroIndependiente Medellin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2016 | Huila(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Cortulua(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Envigado(home) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Junior(away) | 3-3 | Primera A |
| Apr 7, 2016 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 4-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2016 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 29, 2016 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Jaguares(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 4-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Atletico Nacional win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Independiente Medellin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Atletico Nacional | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional on Mar 20, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Nacional score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.7 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente Medellin | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy