Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia: result 0-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on June 25, 2011 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
Full time
What was the result of Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
Bahia won 0-2 on June 25, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 65′Marcone Cena CerqueiraBahia
- 86′LulinhaBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bahia have 1, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2011 | Figueirense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2011 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Gremio(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2011 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2011 | Fluminense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in Serie A (41 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy