Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Amaya, Pueblonuevo del Guadiana
The Footlab model makes Atlético Pueblonuevo the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Jerez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Atlético Pueblonuevo (1,685) and Jerez (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Pueblonuevo have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Jerez have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Calamonte(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Montehermoso(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Pueblonuevo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jerez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo 3-2 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Jerez 5-1 Atlético Pueblonuevo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Atlético Pueblonuevo 0-1 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Jerez 3-0 Atlético Pueblonuevo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Atlético Pueblonuevo 0-0 Jerez | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Jerez 3-0 Atlético Pueblonuevo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Pueblonuevo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jerez score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Pueblonuevo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Jerez | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Pueblonuevo sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (33 points from 34 matches) and Jerez sit 10th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jerez | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56 | 51 | 41 |
| 15 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 55 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Pueblonuevo the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Jerez.
- Where and when is Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez played?
- Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Jerez is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Amaya, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.