Puebla Calzada vs Montijo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, Puebla de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Montijo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Puebla Calzada wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla Calzada vs Montijo?
On Elo ratings, Puebla Calzada has 1,719 points and Montijo 1,684.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla Calzada vs Montijo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla Calzada
Not enough data to predict the Puebla Calzada lineup.
Montijo
Not enough data to predict the Montijo lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Montijo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Castuera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Puebla Calzada win, 3 draws, 1 Montijo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo 1-3 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montijo 1-0 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Puebla Calzada 1-1 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Puebla Calzada 0-0 Montijo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Montijo 0-0 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Montijo vs Puebla Calzada on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla Calzada score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montijo score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Calzada | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Montijo | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla Calzada sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (17 points from 10 matches) and Montijo sit 16th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 16 | Montijo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Puebla Calzada vs Montijo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla Calzada vs Montijo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Montijo.
- Where and when is Puebla Calzada vs Montijo played?
- Puebla Calzada vs Montijo is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.