Jaraíz vs Villanovense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, Jaraíz de la Vera
The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Villanovense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaraíz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,175 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaraíz vs Villanovense?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Jaraíz (1,825) and Villanovense (1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaraíz vs Villanovense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaraíz
Not enough data to predict the Jaraíz lineup.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaraíz have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Villanovense have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Guadiana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Jaraíz win, 2 draws, 0 Villanovense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villanovense 0-0 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 10, 2026 | Villanovense 0-1 Jaraíz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Jaraíz 1-1 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Villanovense vs Jaraíz on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jaraíz score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villanovense score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaraíz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Villanovense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaraíz sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (12 points from 10 matches) and Villanovense sit 4th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villanovense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 11 | Jaraíz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Jaraíz vs Villanovense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaraíz vs Villanovense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaraíz the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Villanovense.
- Where and when is Jaraíz vs Villanovense played?
- Jaraíz vs Villanovense is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Jaraíz de la Vera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.