Match

Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, Saltillo

Atlético SaltilloReal Refineros

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Saltillo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Atlético Saltillo (1,810) and Real Refineros (1,802).

46%23%31%
Atlético Saltillo winDrawReal Refineros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Saltillo

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Saltillo lineup.

Real Refineros

Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Saltillo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Real Refineros have 1, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Saltillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Vaqueros Reynosa(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(away)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 26, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026FC Santiago(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Real Refineros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026Ciervos(home)3-3Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Calor de San Pedro(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Saltillo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Refineros score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Saltillo1.21.758/159/15
Real Refineros1.41.924/74/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Saltillo sit 8th in Liga Premier Serie A (8 points from 7 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (7 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Atlético Saltillo730410178
8Real Refineros721411137

A question about Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Real Refineros.
Where and when is Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros played?
Atlético Saltillo vs Real Refineros is played on March 27, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Francisco I. Madero, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atlético Saltillo and Real Refineros

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