Match

Acatlan vs Halcones Negros: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 26Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

AcatlanHalcones Negros

The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Halcones Negros?

Halcones Negros starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,766).

26%22%52%
Acatlan winDrawHalcones Negros win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Acatlan vs Halcones Negros

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Acatlan

Not enough data to predict the Acatlan lineup.

Halcones Negros

Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Halcones Negros have 4, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 1, 2026Héroes de Zaci(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 25, 2026FC Santiago(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Real Apodaca(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Halcones Negros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Real Refineros(away)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Ciervos(away)5-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Calor de San Pedro(home)7-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acatlan1.72.147/1511/15
Halcones Negros2.90.943/76/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Acatlan sit 4th in Liga Premier Serie A (13 points from 7 matches) and Halcones Negros sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Halcones Negros741220614
4Acatlan7412121013

A question about Acatlan vs Halcones Negros?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Halcones Negros?
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Halcones Negros played?
Acatlan vs Halcones Negros is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acatlan and Halcones Negros

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