Match

Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 26Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari

GuerrerosDragones de Oaxaca

The Footlab AI model makes Guerreros the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guerreros wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Guerreros (1,820) and Dragones de Oaxaca (1,896).

41%26%33%
Guerreros winDrawDragones de Oaxaca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Guerreros

Not enough data to predict the Guerreros lineup.

Dragones de Oaxaca

Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dragones de Oaxaca have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guerreros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Halcones Negros(home)2-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Mineros de Fresnillo(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026FC Santiago(away)2-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(home)3-0Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-2Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones de Oaxaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Héroes de Zaci(home)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 17, 2026Artesanos Metepec(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 13, 2026Guerreros del Pacifico(home)5-1Liga Premier Serie A
Oct 4, 2026Real Refineros(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 27, 2026Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away)3-3Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Guerreros score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guerreros1.31.538/159/15
Dragones de Oaxaca2.20.969/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guerreros sit 7th in Liga Premier Serie A (12 points from 8 matches) and Dragones de Oaxaca sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Dragones de Oaxaca962125822
7Guerreros8323121312

A question about Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
The Footlab AI model makes Guerreros the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
Where and when is Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca played?
Guerreros vs Dragones de Oaxaca is played on March 28, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Guerreros and Dragones de Oaxaca

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