Atromitos vs Kalamata: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristeriou, Athens
The Footlab model makes Atromitos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Kalamata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos vs Kalamata?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Atromitos (1,867) and Kalamata (1,909).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atromitos have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kalamata have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-0 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Marko(away) | 0-0 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalamata score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kalamata | 1.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atromitos sit 13th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Kalamata sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kalamata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos vs Kalamata?
- The Footlab model makes Atromitos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Kalamata.
- Where and when is Atromitos vs Kalamata played?
- Atromitos vs Kalamata is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristeriou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.