Panathinaikos vs PAOK: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for PAOK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Panathinaikos (2,026) and PAOK (2,062).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; PAOK have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Paks(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Panathinaikos win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 PAOK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK 0-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos | Cup |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Panathinaikos 0-1 PAOK | Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Panathinaikos vs PAOK on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| PAOK | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panathinaikos sit 4th in Super League 1 (52 points from 32 matches) and PAOK sit 3rd (64 points from 32 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PAOK | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 47 | 33 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?
- The Footlab model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for PAOK.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs PAOK played?
- Panathinaikos vs PAOK is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.