Atvidabergs FF vs Lund: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 23Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kopparvallen, Åtvidaberg
The Footlab model makes Atvidabergs FF the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Lund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atvidabergs FF vs Lund?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Atvidabergs FF (1,679) and Lund (1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atvidabergs FF have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Lund have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angelholms FF(home) | 4-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tvååker(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 3-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 5-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atvidabergs FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lund 2-0 Atvidabergs FF | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Lund 1-1 Atvidabergs FF | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Atvidabergs FF 2-3 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Lund 2-0 Atvidabergs FF | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Atvidabergs FF 2-2 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Atvidabergs FF 2-1 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Lund vs Atvidabergs FF on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atvidabergs FF score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lund score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atvidabergs FF | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Lund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atvidabergs FF sit 2nd in Ettan - Södra (35 points from 18 matches) and Lund sit 3rd (31 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atvidabergs FF | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | Lund | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atvidabergs FF vs Lund?
- The Footlab model makes Atvidabergs FF the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Lund.
- Where and when is Atvidabergs FF vs Lund played?
- Atvidabergs FF vs Lund is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kopparvallen, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.