Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 23Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping
The Footlab model makes Jonkopings Sodra the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Skövde AIK. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK?
Jonkopings Sodra starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonkopings Sodra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Skövde AIK have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olympic(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosengård(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 27, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 0-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lund(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lund(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jonkopings Sodra win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Skövde AIK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Skövde AIK 1-0 Jonkopings Sodra | Ettan - Södra |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra 2-1 Skövde AIK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Jonkopings Sodra 1-0 Skövde AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| May 3, 2025 | Skövde AIK 1-0 Jonkopings Sodra | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Jonkopings Sodra 2-2 Skövde AIK | Superettan |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Skövde AIK 3-3 Jonkopings Sodra | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Skövde AIK vs Jonkopings Sodra on Jun 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jonkopings Sodra score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Skövde AIK score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonkopings Sodra | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Skövde AIK | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonkopings Sodra sit 9th in Ettan - Södra (23 points from 18 matches) and Skövde AIK sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 12 | Skövde AIK | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK?
- The Footlab model makes Jonkopings Sodra the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Skövde AIK.
- Where and when is Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK played?
- Jonkopings Sodra vs Skövde AIK is played on September 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadsparksvallen, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.