Aubagne vs Amiens: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amiens wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs Amiens?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Aubagne (1,721) and Amiens (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aubagne vs Amiens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Amiens
3-4-3- 32L. Diakite
- 26C. Mbondi
- 15M. Colin
- 22R. Boissier
- 19A. Nuss
- 17A. Giacomini
- 10Z. Sopromadze
- 25E. Genton
- 4K. Mbala
- 20L. Llort
- 1V. Delins
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Amiens have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Amiens score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Amiens | 1.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 16th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Amiens sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs Amiens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs Amiens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amiens the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs Amiens played?
- Aubagne vs Amiens is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.