Aubagne vs Cannes: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab model makes Cannes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs Cannes?
Cannes starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,918 vs 1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Cannes have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Caen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| May 15, 2026 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Montpellier(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Aubagne win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cannes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Aubagne 2-1 Cannes | National 2 - Group A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Cannes 0-1 Aubagne | National 2 - Group A |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Cannes 0-1 Aubagne | National 3 - Group D |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Aubagne 1-1 Cannes | National 3 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cannes score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cannes | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 18th in Ligue 3 (0 points from 3 matches) and Cannes sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cannes | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Aubagne | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs Cannes?
- The Footlab model makes Cannes the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs Cannes played?
- Aubagne vs Cannes is played on April 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.