Orleans vs Aubagne: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de la Source, Orléans
The Footlab AI model makes Orleans the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Aubagne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Orleans wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,504 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orleans vs Aubagne?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Orleans (1,855) and Aubagne (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orleans vs Aubagne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orleans
4-1-4-1- 19R. Legendre
- 7M. Diako
- 20B. Dali Amar
- 11G. Berthier
- 21L. Raillot
- 6H. Aubourg
- 5M. Sylla Diallo
- 3T. Ndicka
- 27M. Lemaitre
- 24I. Dramé
- 1F. Faham
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orleans have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aubagne have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Orleans wins, 0 draws, 2 Aubagne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Aubagne 0-2 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Orleans 2-4 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| May 2, 2025 | Aubagne 1-0 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Orleans 2-1 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orleans score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orleans sit 14th in Ligue 3 (9 points from 9 matches) and Aubagne sit 16th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Orleans vs Aubagne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orleans vs Aubagne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orleans the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Aubagne.
- Where and when is Orleans vs Aubagne played?
- Orleans vs Aubagne is played on April 24, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Source, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.