Caen vs Amiens: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Amiens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Amiens?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Caen (1,790) and Amiens (1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Amiens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Amiens
3-4-3- 32L. Diakite
- 26C. Mbondi
- 15M. Colin
- 22R. Boissier
- 19A. Nuss
- 17A. Giacomini
- 10Z. Sopromadze
- 25E. Genton
- 4K. Mbala
- 20L. Llort
- 1V. Delins
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Amiens have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Caen wins, 1 draw, 1 Amiens win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Amiens 2-1 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Caen 2-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Caen 2-0 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Amiens 0-0 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| May 20, 2023 | Amiens 1-3 Caen | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Caen 3-1 Amiens | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Amiens score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Amiens | 1.4 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 7th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Amiens sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Caen vs Amiens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Amiens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Amiens.
- Where and when is Caen vs Amiens played?
- Caen vs Amiens is played on April 17, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.