Aubagne vs Quevilly: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aubagne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs Quevilly?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Aubagne (1,750) and Quevilly (1,780).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aubagne vs Quevilly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 24S. Ahamada
- 22Walid Bouaziz
- 26M. Nehari
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 4R. Valme
- 16T. Moreira
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Quevilly have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gobelins(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aubagne win, 1 draw, 2 Quevilly wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Aubagne 0-1 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Quevilly 1-2 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Quevilly 1-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Aubagne 1-1 Quevilly | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Quevilly score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Quevilly | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 16th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 9 matches) and Quevilly sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs Quevilly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs Quevilly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs Quevilly played?
- Aubagne vs Quevilly is played on May 1, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.