Caen vs Orleans: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Orleans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Orleans?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Caen (1,819) and Orleans (1,843).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Orleans
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Orleans
4-1-4-1- 19R. Legendre
- 7M. Diako
- 20B. Dali Amar
- 11G. Berthier
- 21L. Raillot
- 6H. Aubourg
- 5M. Sylla Diallo
- 3T. Ndicka
- 27M. Lemaitre
- 24I. Dramé
- 1F. Faham
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Orleans have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Caen wins, 1 draw, 1 Orleans win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Caen 1-1 Orleans | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Orleans 2-1 Caen | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Orleans 1-3 Caen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Caen 3-1 Orleans | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Caen 2-1 Orleans | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Orleans score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Orleans | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 7th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Orleans sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Caen vs Orleans?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Orleans?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Orleans.
- Where and when is Caen vs Orleans played?
- Caen vs Orleans is played on May 1, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.