Aubagne vs Valenciennes: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, Aubagne
The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Valenciennes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aubagne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubagne vs Valenciennes?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Aubagne (1,753) and Valenciennes (1,795).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aubagne vs Valenciennes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aubagne
4-1-4-1- 17J. Porsan-Clemente
- 27J. Sahraoui
- 7Y. M'Changama
- 18A. Oudjani
- 10K. Cissé
- 9Y. Zemoura
- 23Y. Aradj
- 5R. Doucouré
- 26M. Nehari
- 4R. Valme
- 1I. Touré
Valenciennes
4-2-3-1- 11R. Ekra
- 8M. Rouai
- 10D. Diomande
- 19T. Marechal
- 26L. Boiteau
- 21V. Marcel
- 6M. Zogba
- 22D. Goprou
- 2Derrick Abu
- 13C. Rocchia
- 1J. Louchet
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubagne have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Valenciennes have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Versailles(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Aubagne wins, 2 draws, 2 Valenciennes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Valenciennes 0-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Aubagne 1-1 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| May 16, 2025 | Aubagne 0-3 Valenciennes | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Valenciennes 1-0 Aubagne | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Valenciennes vs Aubagne on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubagne score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Valenciennes score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubagne | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Valenciennes | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubagne sit 17th in Ligue 3 (7 points from 11 matches) and Valenciennes sit 15th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Aubagne vs Valenciennes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubagne vs Valenciennes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aubagne the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Valenciennes.
- Where and when is Aubagne vs Valenciennes played?
- Aubagne vs Valenciennes is played on May 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Lattre de Tassigny, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.