Caen vs Villefranche: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 33Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Villefranche. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caen vs Villefranche?
Caen starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caen vs Villefranche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caen
4-3-3- 9F. El Khoumisti
- 20Keelyan Portut
- 10I. Botella
- 24Léo Milliner
- 25Z. Bagbema
- 18J. Bomo
- 3D. Bolumbu
- 23L. Carole
- 12D. Appiah
- 5Y. Diaby
- 16Y. Clémentia
Villefranche
3-2-4-1- 9L. Piquionne
- 27A. Diakité
- 7M. Louzif
- 13M. Cachbach
- 10L. Yobé
- 29L. Etoga
- 18R. Laspalles
- 23D. Gassama
- 4M. Tshibuabua
- 31T. Norde
- 1S. Péan
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caen have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Villefranche have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Rouen(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Concarneau(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fleury 91(away) | 1-6 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caen win, 1 draw, 0 Villefranche wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Caen 3-0 Villefranche | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Villefranche 1-1 Caen | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caen score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Villefranche score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Villefranche | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caen sit 7th in Ligue 3 (15 points from 9 matches) and Villefranche sit 18th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 4 |
A question about Caen vs Villefranche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caen vs Villefranche?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caen the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Villefranche.
- Where and when is Caen vs Villefranche played?
- Caen vs Villefranche is played on May 14, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.