Aubstadt vs Ansbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,841) and Ansbach (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ansbach have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aubstadt win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ansbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Aubstadt 2-1 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Ansbach 2-2 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Aubstadt 2-3 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Ansbach 1-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 4, 2024 | Ansbach 4-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Aubstadt 2-0 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and Ansbach sit 19th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs Ansbach?
- The Footlab model makes Aubstadt the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs Ansbach played?
- Aubstadt vs Ansbach is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.