Eltersdorf vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Langenau, Erlangen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Eltersdorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eltersdorf vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Eltersdorf (1,910) and Illertissen (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eltersdorf have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nürnberg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayern München II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eltersdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2022 | Illertissen 1-2 Eltersdorf | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Eltersdorf 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Eltersdorf on May 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Eltersdorf score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eltersdorf | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eltersdorf sit 7th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Eltersdorf | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eltersdorf vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Eltersdorf.
- Where and when is Eltersdorf vs Illertissen played?
- Eltersdorf vs Illertissen is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Langenau, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.